Lessons from Germany’s (entirely predictable) UN Security Council defeat - FT中文网
登录×
电子邮件/用户名
密码
记住我
请输入邮箱和密码进行绑定操作:
请输入手机号码,通过短信验证(目前仅支持中国大陆地区的手机号)。如果该手机号尚未注册,将自动创建 FT中文网账号。短信可能需要几分钟送达,验证码15分钟内有效,请耐心等待:
请您阅读我们的用户注册协议和隐私权保护政策,点击下方按钮即视为您接受。
德国政治

Lessons from Germany’s (entirely predictable) UN Security Council defeat

In a world of aggressive great powers, middle powers must learn to forge alliances
00:00

{"text":[[{"start":8.15,"text":"The writer directs the Center on the US and Europe at the Brookings Institution"}],[{"start":12.55,"text":"It is not hard to mock the resounding defeat of Germany’s bid for a seat on the UN’s Security Council. One commentator called it a foreign policy Gesamtkunstwerk, a total work of art. The term was popularised by Richard Wagner for his revolutionary synthesis of music, visual art, design and architecture. But you get the idea: big, loud and tragic."}],[{"start":36.85,"text":"The executive organ of the UN has five permanent members (the US, Russia, China, France and the UK) and 10 rotating non-permanent members, elected for two-year terms in the General Assembly from among the other 188 member states, grouped by region. This most recent election was for the 2027-28 period, and two of the five seats up for election were allotted to the so-called Western European and Other States group."}],[{"start":63.05,"text":"Regional groups often agree on candidates to maximise their chances. The countries that enter the race sometimes campaign for these seats for more than a decade, lobbying every single member state. Yet Germany went in years after Portugal and Austria had already declared. It would have needed at least 127 votes. Last week, Berlin was beaten with 104 votes to Lisbon’s 134 and Vienna’s 131."}],[{"start":89.9,"text":"But, as my grandfather liked to say: “Must we cry?” The rivals deserved their wins. Portugal expertly leverages its relations with former colonies in Africa, Asia and South America to punch above its weight internationally (UN secretary-general António Guterres and European Council president António Costa are both Portuguese); its recognition of Palestinian statehood is likely to have added to support in the global south. Austria is the Schrödinger’s cat of diplomacy, discreetly supporting Israel and Ukraine while touting its constitutional neutrality to the non-western world."}],[{"start":125.10000000000001,"text":"Germany, meanwhile, appears to have presumed too much and not tried hard enough. It is the fourth-largest funder of the UN, the world’s third-largest economy and Europe’s largest. It has won each of its six previous Security Council bids and has long argued that its stature ought to merit a permanent seat. Its campaign slogan was “Respect, Justice, Peace”, but Chancellor Friedrich Merz did not even show up at September’s annual General Assembly meeting to work the room. Austria sent its president, chancellor and foreign minister. So much for respect."}],[{"start":158.25,"text":"As for justice, Berlin prides itself on being a staunch defender of international institutions and law, of right over might. But it has made significant cuts to development and humanitarian aid. And Merz — who has a tendency to think after speaking — has refused to condemn US strikes against Venezuela (he called them legally “complex”) and said Israel was “doing the dirty work for us” with strikes on Iran."}],[{"start":182.6,"text":"And peace is an elusive goal in a moment when Russia, China and Donald Trump’s US are vying to reshape the global order to their liking through coercion and military force. Germany is re-arming at speed and is now Ukraine’s biggest national provider of military aid; allegations of a Kremlin campaign against Berlin’s candidature for the Security Council are entirely plausible."}],[{"start":208.15,"text":"Berlin’s defeat at the UN, however, is rooted in a larger dilemma. Before his election, Merz gave a speech in which he said he wanted Germany to become “a leading middle power”. But the remark famously attributed to Henry Kissinger — “poor old Germany: too big for Europe, too small for the world” — is if anything truer today than during his lifetime."}],[{"start":229.65,"text":"Russia regularly blocks the Security Council with vetoes, while China has been working assiduously to gain power and the ability to set standards in UN institutions. The US announced in January that it would retrench or retreat from more than 60 international bodies; the Board of Peace, Trump’s ersatz Security Council, is bereft of funds. Germany’s diplomats, meanwhile, invoke “multilateralism” like a mantra."}],[{"start":255.20000000000002,"text":"To navigate (never mind lead) in a world of aggressive great powers, a middle power like Germany must learn to forge alliances, especially with countries that do not share its values and interests. Berlin does actually have a group of like-minded allies in the EU — but then it would have to concentrate on solving problems within the bloc, rather than elbowing out smaller member states in pursuit of empty prestige."}],[{"start":280.85,"text":"Respect, Justice, Peace: nice work if you can get it. But meanwhile maybe Germany should give generosity, consistency, humility a try."}],[{"start":298.15000000000003,"text":""}]],"url":"https://audio.ftcn.net.cn/album/a_1781049602_6898.mp3"}

版权声明:本文版权归FT中文网所有,未经允许任何单位或个人不得转载,复制或以任何其他方式使用本文全部或部分,侵权必究。

马克•扎克伯格是不是太贪心?让股东来决定

如果这位亿万富翁创始人在意人们的看法,就应该说服其他投资者支持他的愿景。

AI监管不能照搬银行业模式

金融监管体系历经一个世纪的拼凑修补才逐渐成形。AI需要一套针对自身特点设计的监管机制。

FT社评:星链风波凸显欧洲亟须在太空领域迎头赶上

美国科技遥遥领先,但布鲁塞尔仍需建立自己的卫星网络并具备发射能力。

新加坡寻求追究相关公司责任,应对十年来最严重空气污染

政府威胁将对10家企业采取法律行动,称这些企业是邻国印尼山火的幕后推手,而山火造成的烟霾正在困扰新加坡。

美债收益率冲击下,欧洲必须自寻出路

埃里安:欧洲不能只盼着大西洋彼岸的借贷成本回落,它必须着手解决自身问题。

AI与通胀:央行行长该担忧到什么程度?

凯恩斯:这取决于一个价值万亿美元问题的答案:AI是否真能带来预期的生产力提升?
设置字号×
最小
较小
默认
较大
最大
分享×